Item
Malfunction
(what can go wrong)
Likelihood
1 (unlikely) - 5 (almost certain)
Consequences
of malfunction
Severity of Malfunction
1 (not serious) - 5 (catastrophic)
A
pinhole in balloon
1
balloon never pops, and is lost
5
B
prediction software incorrect
2
balloon falls in ocean
5
C
power failure in a camera
3
limited photos from that camera
2
D
capsule lands in lake or river
2
cameras destroyed, photos survive?
3
E
capsule lands in tree
5
climb tree or cut down?
2
F
capsule lands on house, road, car, etc
1
damage to structure, or to payload
5
G
capsule stolen after landing
1
loss of data and materials
5

Risk Matrix

Likelihood
5

E



of
4





Event
3

C



Occurring
2


D

B

1
A,F,G
A,F,G
A,F,G
A,F,G
A,F,G


1
2
3
4
5

Severity of Malfunction